0x2FDC27F42634659d59cE16C100eA4C656fa51348-1775248395498
0x2fdc27f42634659d59ce16c100ea4c656fa51348
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $953.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.315 | $594.65 | −$27.31 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.015 | $232.34 | −$1.2k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.687 | 0.655 | $126.56 | −$6.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.98at 0.530Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$91.44at 0.791US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$56.90at 0.910US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
- +$52.63at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
- +$50.14at 0.770US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 16:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $95.37 |
| 07-15 16:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $37.40 |
| 07-14 16:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999561 | $4.96 |
| 07-14 16:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $414.15 |
| 07-14 16:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.3018496776 | $450.84 |
| 07-14 16:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $46.12 |
| 07-14 16:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $26.40 |
| 07-14 16:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $36.30 |
| 07-14 16:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $62.04 |
| 07-14 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-14 10:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.3636084726 | $277.62 |
| 07-13 17:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.1856059228 | $124.84 |
| 07-13 17:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.1739999867 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 16:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.5299999995 | $67.87 |
| 07-13 16:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.53 | $83.21 |