PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

demster

0x2ff30a11a8d216009682d7097e6f73b0fbe8a188

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$108.7k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$263.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1480.065$107.19$137.55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1520.278$78.54+$35.54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0920.128$75.39+$20.98
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.003$2.50$7.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down0.0930.000$0.00$11.22
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$2.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$25.00
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$27.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$12.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$145.72
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$56.35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$26.08
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$88.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 16:15Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999988$18.90
07-09 16:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.11$0.30
07-09 16:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.3699998631$1.00
07-09 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.4099998237$1.00
07-09 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.4099998237$1.00
07-09 16:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.429999828$1.00
07-02 19:39Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$2.02
07-02 19:38Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$2.00
07-02 19:29Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.026$2.08
07-02 19:27Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$4.00
07-02 19:27Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$4.00
07-02 19:26Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$10.00
07-02 18:49Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.67
06-27 06:14Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.052$7.80
06-27 06:13Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.013$11.70