demster
0x2ff30a11a8d216009682d7097e6f73b0fbe8a188
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $108.7k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $263.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$307.42at 0.097Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$188.82at 0.340Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$134.72at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$125.30at 0.326Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$119.46at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 16:15 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999988 | $18.90 |
| 07-09 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.30 |
| 07-09 16:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 16:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 19:39 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.02 |
| 07-02 19:38 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 19:29 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.08 |
| 07-02 19:27 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 19:27 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 19:26 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 18:49 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.67 |
| 06-27 06:14 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.052 | $7.80 |
| 06-27 06:13 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $11.70 |