PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3115E2e9272eE9BD4cea3B571e136C5F412561D5-1767887548283

0x3115e2e9272ee9bd4cea3b571e136c5f412561d5

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$197.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$19.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8600.951$7.7k+$740.76
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8570.925$7.6k+$553.14
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.7950.885$3.3k+$337.83
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.8520.925$1.1k+$86.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5600.000$0.00$5.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 15:49Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.3507919769$251.14
05-18 15:49Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9814693587$8.1k
04-19 11:37Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?SELL0.7796552474$1.0k
04-19 11:36Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9216820135$1.0k
04-05 03:44Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9630919119$7.9k
04-05 03:38Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.698385018$500.00
04-05 03:37Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.8883363217$1000.00
04-05 03:37Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?BUY0.7768150581$1000.00
04-05 03:36Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.9116969737$2.0k
04-05 03:22US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.9648811391$12.4k
04-03 00:45Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.8572908707$7.0k
04-03 00:40Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.8778930565$5.0k
04-03 00:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.89$15.0k
04-03 00:36US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.7781246651$10.0k
04-03 00:35US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.71$5.0k