SagiNahor
0x31fc1ea26a74aafac1dc52289a86e919a9b44e30
- Realised P&L
- $60.8k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.9kat 0.018Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?
- +$26.5kat 0.100Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$9.2kat 0.083Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$7.8kat 0.071Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
- +$7.2kat 0.2472024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 03:55 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $241.60 |
| 07-24 03:40 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $167.64 |
| 07-24 03:38 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.022 | $271.34 |
| 06-18 14:30 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.044 | $657.38 |
| 02-11 09:00 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $28.52 |
| 02-11 08:59 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $309.92 |
| 01-29 00:01 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.1332815243 | $609.82 |
| 11-21 15:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? | BUY | 0.1189999997 | $300.00 |
| 11-17 19:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.347 | $34.70 |
| 11-17 19:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.346 | $113.83 |
| 11-14 20:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 11-14 20:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | BUY | 0.0479214474 | $75.00 |
| 11-14 20:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | BUY | 0.1219739721 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 02:26 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0083058585 | $195.00 |
| 08-29 12:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.05 | $43.32 |