PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SagiNahor

0x31fc1ea26a74aafac1dc52289a86e919a9b44e30

Realised P&L
$60.8k
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.029$826.01+$633.82
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0440.051$754.50+$97.11
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.021$574.43+$235.99
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.005$350.59$85.93
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$46.23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$846.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00$148.53
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.41
ICE shooter charged by March 31? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$609.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$75.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00$200.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 03:55Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$241.60
07-24 03:40Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$167.64
07-24 03:38Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.022$271.34
06-18 14:30Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.044$657.38
02-11 09:00Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.013$28.52
02-11 08:59Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.012$309.92
01-29 00:01ICE shooter charged by March 31?BUY0.1332815243$609.82
11-21 15:14Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?BUY0.1189999997$300.00
11-17 19:46Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.347$34.70
11-17 19:46Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.346$113.83
11-14 20:41Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
11-14 20:40Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?BUY0.0479214474$75.00
11-14 20:38Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?BUY0.1219739721$200.00
09-17 02:26Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0083058585$195.00
08-29 12:21Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY0.05$43.32