Chaegool
0x321e8f7cc5d4e2a8bc2d89d489cb8edc528780fe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $60.9k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $121.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.183Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
- +$595.58at 0.502Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$450.37at 0.261Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$396.00at 0.340Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$200.00at 0.600Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 20:53 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $6.99 |
| 07-15 20:52 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.0266714267 | $28.90 |
| 07-15 20:43 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.68 | $339.99 |
| 07-15 00:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2289999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 00:21 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.352499998 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 16:00 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 16:00 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 15:57 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.29 | $193.33 |
| 07-11 15:50 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999989 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 15:12 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2999999992 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 07:35 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 07:33 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 12:05 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 07-09 20:00 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6174999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 20:00 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.242499984 | $10.00 |