PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LarBotPrime

0x32fd6b56df721252cee6b212b90d767e2aed5c8b

Realised P&L
$132.99
Volume
$165.7k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$12.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? · No0.7390.730$897.67$10.90
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? · No0.6090.680$738.91+$76.67
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.570$572.79+$50.09
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · No0.8500.850$517.93+$0.00
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? · No0.8800.720$513.18$114.04
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? · Yes0.8140.805$482.48$5.62
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat? · No0.8250.830$478.01+$2.63
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? · Yes0.8560.860$452.51+$2.14
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? · No0.8410.845$441.53+$1.87
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? · No0.7990.791$417.86$4.22
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? · No0.9540.978$409.90+$10.01
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? · Yes0.7440.745$332.64+$0.45
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.4300.440$329.12+$7.48
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? · No0.8270.845$316.03+$6.76
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes0.2080.255$305.37+$56.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:25Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?SELL0.6893043103$79.96
08-03 02:14Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.74$257.52
08-03 01:20Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.7577288514$167.25
08-02 23:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$4.40
08-02 23:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$100.00
08-02 23:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$100.00
08-02 21:12Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.6680329593$80.83
08-02 20:27Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?BUY0.1992138365$38.01
08-02 20:09Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?BUY0.2029999855$8.93
08-02 19:50Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.0528007333$2.65
08-02 19:41Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.7452046035$62.16
08-02 18:57Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.2437804387$54.00
08-02 18:40Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.2580882226$13.50
08-02 18:40Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.0530009039$4.68
08-02 18:39Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.2$51.40