panashvill
0x337425b5f1b3b80654b1c8f9d89ba4fd4d4999dd
- Realised P&L
- $-322.25
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $146.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.984 | 0.984 | $52.13 | −$0.03 |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.935 | $51.42 | −$0.38 |
| Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · No | 0.978 | 0.811 | $43.01 | −$8.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.420XRP Up or Down on May 20?
- +$493.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on May 23?
- +$492.94at 0.510Pirates vs. Brewers
- +$459.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?
- +$226.86at 0.430Athletics vs. Twins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 12:40 | Athletics vs. Twins | BUY | 0.43 | $171.14 |
| 06-25 12:13 | Pirates vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.51 | $513.06 |
| 06-23 10:23 | XRP Up or Down on June 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $453.00 |
| 05-26 13:18 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $417.00 |
| 05-22 07:35 | XRP Up or Down on May 23? | BUY | 0.5 | $493.00 |
| 05-06 13:01 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $627.00 |