PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

calm.rabbit

0x33db47152223a9b30a1891902402ad7e3485417a

Realised P&L
$24.7k
Volume
$1.92M
Markets traded
967
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded967
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · No0.5100.685$274.00+$70.00
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.4920.425$229.25$36.00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5200.495$148.49$7.50
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7870.725$145.00$12.50
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? · No0.4970.175$143.67$264.35
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · No0.7550.895$116.10+$18.10
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · OpenAI0.2280.190$115.49$23.09
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? · No0.1440.141$106.93$2.36
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3200.345$103.47+$7.47
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.3590.405$86.35+$9.72
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.0980.101$78.89+$1.86
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.5220.585$37.88+$4.07
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7460.823$36.02+$3.35
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.1940.195$31.38+$0.22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.5520.825$25.64+$8.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 16:42Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.171$355.90
07-02 22:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.182$18.20
07-02 22:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.182$18.20
06-28 04:18Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.024$2.40
06-28 04:17Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.024$9.60
06-28 04:15Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.012$3.60
06-28 04:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.203$40.60
06-28 04:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.191$34.62
06-24 12:58Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.012$2.96
06-23 03:58Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.34$90.21
06-17 06:06Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?SELL0.27139$10.86
06-17 06:06Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?BUY0.39$15.60
06-11 02:45Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4361$43.61
06-11 01:35Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.76$132.57
06-11 01:35Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?BUY0.75$22.79