calm.rabbit
0x33db47152223a9b30a1891902402ad7e3485417a
- Realised P&L
- $24.7k
- Volume
- $1.92M
- Markets traded
- 967
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded967
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.916Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.331Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?
- +$1.3kat 0.694Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$1.3kat 0.773Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.349Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 16:42 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.171 | $355.90 |
| 07-02 22:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.182 | $18.20 |
| 07-02 22:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.182 | $18.20 |
| 06-28 04:18 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 06-28 04:17 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.024 | $9.60 |
| 06-28 04:15 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.60 |
| 06-28 04:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.203 | $40.60 |
| 06-28 04:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.191 | $34.62 |
| 06-24 12:58 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.96 |
| 06-23 03:58 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.34 | $90.21 |
| 06-17 06:06 | Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | SELL | 0.27139 | $10.86 |
| 06-17 06:06 | Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 06-11 02:45 | Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4361 | $43.61 |
| 06-11 01:35 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $132.57 |
| 06-11 01:35 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.79 |