PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fanat12

0x33f832b83b52aa61967fb8ecb2e753734767c5e4

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$1.43M
Markets traded
445
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded445
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? · Yes0.2730.195$794.74$317.40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.8840.974$637.75+$58.25
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · No0.4370.459$393.40+$18.54
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.5130.381$252.59$87.84
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.3340.024$21.31$274.92
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? · Yes0.1560.036$10.28$34.36
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? · Yes0.0310.005$3.23$16.62
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? · No0.1800.043$2.77$8.86
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m? · Yes0.1130.001$1.00$225.61
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? · Yes0.1600.001$0.77$247.77
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0330.001$0.76$48.86
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? · No0.1600.011$0.57$7.42
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m? · Yes0.7010.425$0.46$0.30
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No0.1670.007$0.41$8.80
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? · No0.3150.015$0.31$5.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:22Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.3498823529$194.92
08-03 03:30Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.887$8.87
08-03 03:29Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.5998132333$179.94
08-03 03:29Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?SELL0.4007083254$63.39
08-03 02:52Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?SELL0.45$45.00
08-03 02:50Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?SELL0.5$50.00
08-03 02:28Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?SELL0.462$60.06
08-02 23:40Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.83$98.03
08-02 23:39Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?BUY0.24$59.35
08-02 23:13Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.1633333333$6.12
08-02 23:12Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?SELL0.8468$42.34
08-02 17:17Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?BUY0.18$54.00
08-02 16:47Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.2399566667$50.39
08-02 16:43Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.1508940044$14.42
08-02 16:35Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?SELL0.84$172.43