PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3413d1f56798c9c3f00829dcc921171d237ad913

Realised P&L
$-116.73
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$84.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2470.310$33.51+$6.83
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2340.192$19.35$4.30
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1810.125$9.42$4.27
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.2800.430$7.63+$2.66
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.035$6.61$2.72
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · No0.2770.085$2.95$6.65
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1920.145$1.87$0.61
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1300.110$1.68$0.31
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0030.001$1.00$5.00
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$0.90$0.10
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$9.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$51.70
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.93
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$19.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$3.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 11:33Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-10 11:32Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-10 11:29New COVID variant of concern before 2027?BUY0.1899999744$4.97
07-10 11:26Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-10 11:23XRP Up or Down - July 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.01$1.39
07-10 11:23Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.2099999047$1.41
07-10 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.1299999285$1.40
07-10 11:20Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-10 11:19Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-10 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.98$4.90
07-10 11:09Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-10 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
07-10 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
07-10 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
07-10 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00