0x3413d1f56798c9c3f00829dcc921171d237ad913
- Realised P&L
- $-116.73
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $84.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.22at 0.115Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$15.16at 0.112Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?
- +$13.77at 0.520Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
- +$11.35at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$9.66at 0.016Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 11:33 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:32 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:29 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999744 | $4.97 |
| 07-10 11:26 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:23 | XRP Up or Down - July 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.39 |
| 07-10 11:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999047 | $1.41 |
| 07-10 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999285 | $1.40 |
| 07-10 11:20 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:19 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 07-10 11:09 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |