B3bri9d83
0x3484b1e2b5aba20a2e93fab2acfcb7825bc9d070
- Realised P&L
- $-345.47
- Volume
- $51.9k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $682.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.91at 0.230Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$190.75at 0.760Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
- +$58.30at 0.319Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 24?
- +$56.67at 0.150Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 26?
- +$43.29at 0.203Nuggets vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.33999999 | $14.89 |
| 03-04 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 03-04 15:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5? | BUY | 0.256 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 15:44 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 5? | BUY | 0.0349999983 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 15:44 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 5? | BUY | 0.2029999929 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 15:43 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 5? | BUY | 0.2028729861 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 15:43 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 5? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 15:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5? | BUY | 0.2469999873 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 15:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 20:21 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 4? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 20:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 4? | BUY | 0.1393034712 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 20:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 03-03 17:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 17:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |