PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ElonEdgeX

0x355eae802c8c8bdd08fabe48d65f19de955d6760

Realised P&L
$-32.87
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$9.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.0200.045$2.25+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0500.100$2.00+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3? · Yes0.0240.037$1.56+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3? · Yes0.0340.048$1.41+$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 4? · Yes0.0400.025$0.63$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.1100.045$0.41$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.0350.017$0.34$0.38
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.0200.006$0.30$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4? · Yes0.0200.015$0.15$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.0400.003$0.06$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0200.001$0.03$0.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2? · Yes0.0170.001$0.01$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2? · Yes0.0080.001$0.01$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2? · Yes0.0170.001$0.01$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:26Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.02$0.11
08-02 17:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.04$1.00
08-02 16:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.04$1.00
08-02 16:07Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.02$1.00
08-02 11:03Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.02$1.00
08-02 02:54Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2?BUY0.04$0.32
08-01 21:43Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.02$0.80
08-01 19:06Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 2?BUY0.05$0.50
08-01 17:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 2?BUY0.02$1.00
08-01 09:30Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 2?BUY0.04$0.20
08-01 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 2?BUY0.04$1.00
08-01 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 2?BUY0.02$1.00
08-01 03:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 1?BUY0.02$1.00
08-01 03:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 1?BUY0.02$0.48
07-31 19:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 1?BUY0.05$0.25