ElonEdgeX
0x355eae802c8c8bdd08fabe48d65f19de955d6760
- Realised P&L
- $-32.87
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.60at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?
- +$10.70at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$7.37at 0.913Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
- +$4.62at 0.490Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$3.78at 0.725Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.11 |
| 08-02 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 08-01 21:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 08-01 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-01 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-01 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.48 |
| 07-31 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |