baldinggoat
0x364b3856cc0ab866080e7f6701cf001470d4f9be
- Realised P&L
- $461.95
- Volume
- $2.25M
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.043 | $734.22 | −$66.06 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.043 | $729.72 | −$29.98 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.013 | $690.31 | −$122.98 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.042 | $453.61 | +$17.46 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.030 | $417.42 | +$17.70 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $289.89 | −$119.36 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.018 | $219.55 | −$29.28 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $82.31 | −$3.39 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.043 | $5.18 | +$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$494.93at 0.034Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$472.27at 0.520Spread: Suns (-12.5)
- +$288.19at 0.002Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$150.00at 0.100Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$139.72at 0.003Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 23:49 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $20.13 |
| 07-29 23:48 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $420.00 |
| 07-26 00:54 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $112.49 |
| 07-20 01:51 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.011 | $227.34 |
| 07-19 18:47 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.01 |
| 06-11 12:24 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.013 | $65.11 |
| 05-26 07:01 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.011 | $50.51 |
| 05-18 07:44 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.015 | $7.13 |
| 05-18 07:27 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.046 | $122.66 |
| 04-29 10:12 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.034 | $13.77 |
| 04-28 12:44 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.058 | $5.80 |
| 04-27 10:16 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.036 | $57.72 |
| 04-26 14:59 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0463667284 | $105.69 |
| 04-26 14:56 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.036 | $34.96 |
| 04-26 14:54 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.036 | $43.20 |