OxfordExpress
0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824
- Realised P&L
- $71.8k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 1,776
- Open portfolio
- $70.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,776
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.824US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.200Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$4.3kat 0.084Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
- +$3.4kat 0.001Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
- +$3.1kat 0.990MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.0217675393 | $23.63 |
| 08-02 23:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.87 | $182.70 |
| 08-02 23:06 | Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.5074812594 | $101.55 |
| 08-02 22:33 | Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.45 | $67.50 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.2049377593 | $24.69 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will "Star" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.6263157895 | $23.80 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.1984989429 | $60.09 |
| 08-02 22:20 | Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.2928571429 | $61.50 |
| 08-02 22:18 | Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.2194056243 | $241.08 |
| 08-02 22:10 | Will "Peace" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.780348153 | $224.14 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will "Star" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.59 | $7.67 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.78 | $242.20 |
| 08-02 21:51 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $72.54 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6265979381 | $182.34 |