PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

OxfordExpress

0x38f50488b14a87769e0c5cd6c514b6c2e8ec6824

Realised P&L
$71.8k
Volume
$2.88M
Markets traded
1,776
Open portfolio
$70.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,776
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$27.7k+$10.2k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$7.3k$10.2k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by August 31, 2026? · No0.9800.988$2.4k+$19.15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.915$2.3k+$92.50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.915$1.8k+$110.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5940.635$1.5k+$95.53
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? · Yes0.8330.840$1.4k+$12.42
Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week? · No0.8760.995$1.4k+$165.60
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.3030.280$1.1k$87.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1261.000$1.0k+$906.80
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.4090.489$979.42+$160.77
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4690.320$943.26$439.87
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0360.044$923.00+$169.31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? · No0.8400.895$744.28+$45.94
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? · Yes0.5900.565$567.01$25.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.0217675393$23.63
08-02 23:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.87$182.70
08-02 23:06Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?BUY0.5074812594$101.55
08-02 22:33Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?SELL0.45$67.50
08-02 22:28Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week?SELL0.2049377593$24.69
08-02 22:27Will "Star" be in the headlines this week?BUY0.6263157895$23.80
08-02 22:23Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.21$1.05
08-02 22:23Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.1984989429$60.09
08-02 22:20Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.2928571429$61.50
08-02 22:18Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.2194056243$241.08
08-02 22:10Will "Peace" be in the headlines this week?SELL0.780348153$224.14
08-02 22:08Will "Star" be in the headlines this week?BUY0.59$7.67
08-02 22:08Will "Earthquake" or "Quake" be in the headlines this week?BUY0.78$242.20
08-02 21:51Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026?SELL0.93$72.54
08-02 21:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026?SELL0.6265979381$182.34