0x391D4d6C7449204B068907DCf6a92496988A6f37-1768147905395
0x391d4d6c7449204b068907dcf6a92496988a6f37
- Realised P&L
- $-201.30
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $23.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.525 | $23.68 | +$13.68 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down | 0.427 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.04at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$16.28at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$14.56at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
- +$13.41at 0.691Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$11.88at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 04:13 | Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.2218876132 | $10.00 |
| 02-18 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $19.98 |
| 02-18 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $9.98 |
| 02-18 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $9.97 |
| 02-18 21:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $0.99 |
| 02-18 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999954 | $14.76 |
| 02-18 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $0.97 |
| 02-18 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5329017326 | $4.85 |
| 02-18 18:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $4.87 |
| 02-18 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.531653033 | $4.85 |
| 02-18 16:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $4.87 |
| 02-18 15:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6490049454 | $4.87 |
| 02-15 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.609999939 | $1.46 |
| 02-15 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $0.97 |
| 02-15 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.97 |