laborday25
0x3942a5fecf6b0ab3d4c192f9f98f8cc5588122d9
- Realised P&L
- $163.87
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.68at 0.327Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$12.60at 0.090Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
- +$5.02at 0.266Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
- +$4.29at 0.484Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
- +$3.06at 0.638Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:22 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 07-30 18:27 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.62 |
| 07-30 18:08 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $22.51 |
| 07-30 16:54 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.11 |
| 07-30 16:53 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.094 | $7.14 |
| 07-30 16:39 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.82 | $43.15 |
| 07-30 14:56 | Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.192498433 | $19.19 |
| 07-30 13:41 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 13:23 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.8807174591 | $20.38 |
| 07-30 12:12 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2939999797 | $6.16 |
| 07-30 11:56 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0969999774 | $3.62 |
| 07-30 11:55 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0969999779 | $3.87 |
| 07-30 03:09 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.7645555556 | $41.29 |
| 07-29 20:25 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999981 | $74.73 |
| 07-29 20:12 | Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.3899999702 | $4.19 |