PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

knockknockout

0x39f8bc020808e273d44631c9d4f01eb3fca342cf

Realised P&L
$4.39
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$105.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 23:26Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-07-24?BUY0.5199999455$2.67
06-17 03:05Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?BUY0.9907223881$132.76
06-17 03:02Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?BUY0.003$0.08
06-15 17:46Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0085548436$1.00
06-15 17:46Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0072351571$1.00
06-15 17:44Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0063759956$1.00
06-15 17:44Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0058199172$1.00
06-15 17:41Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0063688408$1.00
06-15 17:26Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0120714288$1.30
06-15 17:05Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.0325864089$3.56
06-15 17:00Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.1702924388$18.33
06-15 16:57Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.7199999981$75.05
06-05 16:49Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?BUY0.21$44.10
06-05 16:48Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?BUY0.76$155.80
04-25 14:55Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.66$144.46