Nikita2604
0x39fb644e883aa4f9742e478d4c863e5bea272c0c
- Realised P&L
- $-45.92
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $105.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.00at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?
- +$18.76at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?
- +$17.98at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 28?
- +$16.67at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
- +$13.42at 0.214Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:17 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.07 |
| 08-02 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.73 |
| 08-02 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.16 |
| 08-02 22:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.13 | $2.08 |
| 08-02 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.07 |
| 08-02 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.07 |
| 08-02 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.16 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.04 |
| 08-02 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1399999515 | $2.25 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.26 |
| 08-02 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.04 |