PolyPros.xyz
0x3a5e34ab461f4e8589e866fcada562269f74846e
- Realised P&L
- $32.87
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $33.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.84at 0.030Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$58.40at 0.696Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$53.95at 0.170Iran military response by Monday?
- +$34.75at 0.590Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$33.10at 0.581Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.912 | $91.20 |
| 07-11 22:25 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.017 | $5.10 |
| 07-11 21:41 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.892 | $99.90 |
| 06-29 14:02 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 14:01 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $80.00 |
| 06-29 11:22 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 06-27 10:32 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.60 |
| 06-27 10:26 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.921 | $92.10 |
| 06-27 10:25 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.20 |
| 06-12 16:50 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051 | $10.20 |
| 06-12 16:49 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $20.07 |
| 06-12 16:40 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.40 |
| 06-12 16:40 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.06 |
| 06-12 16:39 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.95 |
| 06-12 16:38 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |