0x3b22DE1637000EaBE43d90E5613d55d9c7C568e3-1760501856738
0x3b22de1637000eabe43d90e5613d55d9c7c568e3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $63.4k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $187.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.195 | $182.46 | −$192.54 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.875 | $5.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.53 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? · No | 0.542 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.12 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes | 0.723 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.53 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? · No | 0.439 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$481.18at 0.724Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$218.73at 0.601Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?
- +$216.63at 0.593Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
- +$165.79at 0.393Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
- +$81.64at 0.117Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 17:45 | Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | BUY | 0.9919999143 | $5.00 |
| 05-13 17:43 | Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 06:48 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.9529999958 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 12:36 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.0715084711 | $27.69 |
| 04-25 18:03 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 06:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3296899912 | $15.20 |
| 02-06 06:01 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 05:59 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0747011818 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 05:23 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3183202803 | $2.00 |
| 02-06 05:23 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3179999655 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 04:28 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 02:49 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0499212243 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 01:27 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |
| 02-06 01:18 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0467326803 | $5.00 |
| 02-05 23:38 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3597481561 | $10.00 |