0x3B390aE492446b16285AE834d7D745541f59c60C-1781289202948
0x3b390ae492446b16285ae834d7d745541f59c60c
- Realised P&L
- $40.99
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $2.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.62 | −$1.38 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.33 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.89 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.67 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.533 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.43at 0.080Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$0.56at 0.640Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:58 | Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m? | BUY | 0.0016098912 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 21:49 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m? | BUY | 0.0037779229 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 21:38 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3974999913 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:29 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2899999903 | $20.67 |
| 07-15 20:35 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.95 |
| 06-24 21:03 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.069999995 | $12.89 |
| 06-20 00:23 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.0459999985 | $29.36 |
| 06-19 04:46 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.0369999989 | $34.97 |
| 06-18 21:26 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 01:39 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 01:02 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 16:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 18:44 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999902 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 19:02 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.529999992 | $6.00 |