PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3B77482D17f6953e8dAa1d7E69b111FfA72627cd-1771634623985

0x3b77482d17f6953e8daa1d7e69b111ffa72627cd

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$53.0k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$227.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.0680.015$212.14$751.35
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2600.105$10.10$14.90
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.5590.000$0.00$25.00
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.0080.000$0.00$124.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 00:25Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0396330022$295.58
06-07 19:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3$90.00
06-07 19:55Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0909326507$100.00
05-28 23:42Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1$20.00
04-12 01:53Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.0622130423$50.00
04-11 13:12Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1$100.00
04-11 13:10Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1$50.00
04-11 12:10US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?BUY0.1113775418$100.00
04-11 10:48US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?BUY0.0824178547$50.00
04-10 03:08US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.001$10.00
04-09 02:03Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.5589999919$25.00
04-09 01:55Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0904029168$100.00
04-09 01:54US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.003$15.00
04-07 23:01US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.011$10.00
04-07 22:55US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.1069465259$100.00