PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bcobb

0x3cef578e24de95eac7f706876c17a05a06d7c64d

Realised P&L
$-3.31
Volume
$27.9k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$8.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.029$8.14+$5.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0020.001$0.21$0.62
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0020.000$0.00$0.80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0020.000$0.00$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:19Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.002$0.83
08-02 17:18Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.029$2.15
08-02 17:18Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$90.45
07-28 04:46Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.994$90.45
07-10 07:35Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$3.85
07-10 07:35Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$95.23
07-05 04:53Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.993$95.33
06-20 10:39Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.961$90.33
06-11 05:25Israel closes its airspace by June 10?BUY0.999$93.91
06-06 08:46Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.946$94.60
06-02 03:01Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.945$94.50
03-10 08:38Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$90.27
03-06 06:29Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$90.27
03-02 13:13Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.002$0.89
03-02 13:13Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$93.81