SebinVegas
0x3d08f81b13b150fa35e07d073b6eba4e24879e8d
- Realised P&L
- $569.02
- Volume
- $96.5k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $49.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.50at 0.475Louisville Cardinals vs. Stanford Cardinal
- +$120.98at 0.128Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
- +$112.70at 0.033Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$104.08at 0.490Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)
- +$83.81at 0.323UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 01:06 | Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? | SELL | 0.78 | $16.63 |
| 07-23 18:53 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.025 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 18:52 | Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | SELL | 0.066 | $20.92 |
| 07-23 18:51 | Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.992 | $25.79 |
| 07-23 18:51 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $40.00 |
| 07-23 16:05 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.3633952 | $36.34 |
| 07-19 20:12 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 07-19 06:21 | Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 07-19 06:06 | Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.26 |
| 07-19 05:45 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? | SELL | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 07-19 00:50 | Will "Moana" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m? | BUY | 0.0852485 | $3.41 |
| 07-19 00:46 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m? | BUY | 0.148 | $1.48 |
| 07-19 00:46 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.75 |
| 07-18 21:33 | UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.24 | $96.00 |
| 07-18 19:31 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |