PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kingaoleo

0x3da4c09145582b31a70ca1b6fd9bd79c1fc96682

Realised P&L
$-2.22
Volume
$100.65
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$51.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No0.7000.680$14.57$0.43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7700.999$12.97+$2.97
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.7100.695$9.79$0.21
Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No0.8000.860$8.60+$0.60
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.7301.000$2.74+$0.74
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.115$2.61$2.39
Will Vlasto Cepo win by KO or TKO? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$2.00
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.5900.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 22:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
08-01 22:01Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.7099999815$10.00
08-01 21:52Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-01 21:38Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7$15.00
08-01 20:35Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?SELL0.67$2.64
08-01 20:30Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.7099999544$2.80
08-01 18:09Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-01 17:40Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 17:27Will Vlasto Cepo win by KO or TKO?BUY0.71$2.00
08-01 17:00Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.7299999087$2.00