kingaoleo
0x3da4c09145582b31a70ca1b6fd9bd79c1fc96682
- Realised P&L
- $-2.22
- Volume
- $100.65
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $51.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.700 | 0.680 | $14.57 | −$0.43 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.999 | $12.97 | +$2.97 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on August 4? · No | 0.800 | 0.860 | $8.60 | +$0.60 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · No | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.115 | $2.61 | −$2.39 |
| Will Vlasto Cepo win by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.60at 0.770Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$-0.16at 0.710Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:01 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 21:52 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 21:38 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 20:35 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.64 |
| 08-01 20:30 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.7099999544 | $2.80 |
| 08-01 18:09 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:40 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:27 | Will Vlasto Cepo win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |