roldy
0x3e04fbc51adb75418129f6ce2091ae633070564d
- Realised P&L
- $-35.3k
- Volume
- $25.45M
- Markets traded
- 3,801
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,801
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean · Magdalena Frech | 0.647 | 0.585 | $3.7k | −$392.84 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.619 | 0.425 | $3.5k | −$1.6k |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Jessica Pegula | 0.590 | 0.815 | $3.3k | +$899.60 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Rafael Jodar | 0.420 | 0.375 | $1.5k | −$180.00 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) · Golden State Valkyries | 0.533 | 0.535 | $563.41 | +$1.66 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.001 | $2.00 | −$1.8k |
| Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$166.09 |
| Red Wings vs. Senators · Senators | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
| Spread: Capitals (-1.5) · Capitals | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kings · Kings | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Pistons vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Falcons vs. Saints · Saints | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$938.12 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$390.86 |
| Sabres vs. Jets · Sabres | 0.448 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| Oilers vs. Islanders · Oilers | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.6kat 0.099Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$18.6kat 0.380Islanders vs. Lightning
- +$12.9kat 0.513Stars vs. Sabres
- +$11.3kat 0.488NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)
- +$10.9kat 0.520Flyers vs. Flames
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:23 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 23:23 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 23:22 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 23:22 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 22:19 | National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean | BUY | 0.6435643564 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 22:12 | National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean | BUY | 0.65 | $2.6k |
| 08-02 22:04 | National Bank Open: Magdalena Frech vs Leolia Jeanjean | BUY | 0.64 | $65.41 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $109.87 |
| 08-02 20:03 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 19:05 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $80.57 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $118.26 |
| 08-02 19:02 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5299200422 | $331.37 |
| 08-02 19:01 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $0.54 |
| 08-02 13:21 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.62 | $52.70 |
| 08-02 13:00 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.53 | $526.82 |