PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pas-une-omelette

0x3e1e6040b971257d1b0abfca4a30a5a51f95bb8c

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$197.6k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$221.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.048$114.00$228.50
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0990.015$107.69$625.61
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$63.68
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$119.26
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$20.40
Will Kamala say "Brat" before August? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$43.20
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$49.80
Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$292.36
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$69.95
Will Solana reach $200 in January? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$454.31
Fed rate cut by July 31? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$23.45
Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally? · No0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$81.05
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$80.00
Will England win on penalties? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$59.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 07:43Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0899999991$84.40
04-17 22:19Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?SELL0.0456200471$97.29
04-13 05:54Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$60.00
04-13 05:54Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.032$64.00
04-13 05:53Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$50.00
04-12 11:38Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.031$7.27
04-12 11:37Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$300.00
04-12 11:03Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1$298.90
04-12 10:58Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?BUY0.0217944301$171.83
03-14 09:42US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.16$20.00
01-15 13:13Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.3700370575$245.69
01-14 19:50Will Solana reach $200 in January?SELL0.033$18.76
01-08 20:40Will Solana reach $200 in January?BUY0.0306348895$382.42
01-08 20:38Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.4379273336$1000.00
01-05 22:19Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.1899999894$12.00