PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SwiftShores

0x3e3a707b8a660d5c41e05618f382ebf1f9e249cf

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$93.9k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.5401.000$3.7k+$1.7k
US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.5601.000$892.86+$392.86
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2000.077$193.78$306.22
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3200.095$89.06$210.94
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0770.278$72.14+$52.14
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · Yes0.2970.155$52.16$47.84
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1080.043$39.98$60.02
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2500.045$22.50$102.50
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.032$18.90$41.10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1400.118$16.93$3.07
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes0.3400.012$3.53$96.47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.2630.000$0.00$200.00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$20.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-01 21:31US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.54$2.0k
03-24 23:08Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0191848112$300.00
03-15 20:21Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1658905111$100.00
03-15 20:21Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1654669965$100.00
03-15 20:05China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.2$300.00
03-15 20:03Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.192680844$301.00
03-15 20:02China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00
03-15 20:02China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1998604974$100.00
03-15 19:31Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1957847822$100.00
03-15 19:31Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1625001751$100.00
03-15 19:25Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.4182220988$308.74
03-15 19:23Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1827984267$1000.00
03-15 19:22Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1666510391$500.00
03-12 21:09Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.2632347348$200.00
03-12 21:08US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.32$300.00