thoodr
0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed
- Realised P&L
- $57.7k
- Volume
- $4.80M
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $822.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.939Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
- +$4.6kat 0.922President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
- +$3.7kat 0.980Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.979Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$2.7kat 0.934US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:05 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $929.99 |
| 08-02 13:03 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $419.36 |
| 08-02 12:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.1k |
| 08-02 12:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9739223657 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 12:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9927422102 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 12:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9898665727 | $3.2k |
| 08-01 13:59 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $712.00 |
| 08-01 13:58 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.974 | $38.96 |
| 08-01 13:57 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $54.00 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | BUY | 0.898 | $433.20 |
| 08-01 13:54 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $61.60 |
| 08-01 13:51 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $3.1k |
| 08-01 13:50 | Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 08-01 13:46 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9728926768 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 13:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9116514886 | $260.28 |