PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3fd0190eb137e335db080b9855f90c86849f0022

Realised P&L
$-25.6k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$55.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.9100.895$15.7k$262.78
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9000.975$8.7k+$670.39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8800.885$8.0k+$45.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9880.970$5.6k$106.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.9620.982$5.5k+$112.08
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · No0.9820.988$5.2k+$31.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9901.000$4.8k+$45.96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2000.205$950.38+$23.18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2100.290$366.75+$101.17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3840.464$169.29+$29.04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2670.192$101.84$40.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 10:00Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.92$1.9k
08-01 06:00Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.9$903.99
07-26 00:00Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.92$324.00
07-25 20:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.6993728595$6.1k
07-25 10:00Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?BUY0.951$902.50
07-21 16:00Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.92$303.51
07-18 08:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?BUY0.964$32.10
07-17 02:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.99$34.68
07-13 16:00Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?SELL0.5786859767$5.0k
07-08 06:00Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.952$230.92
07-03 10:00Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.92$7.3k
07-02 10:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.9$8.0k
07-02 06:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?BUY0.99$6.3k
06-19 04:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.974$0.97
06-18 02:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?SELL0.622804721$11.61