PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4018f2f161d54790cdb00e4257494d68d37dd14a

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$19.35M
Markets traded
72,327
Open portfolio
$223.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded72,327
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Set Handicap: Samsonova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) · Samsonova0.0010.475$90.25+$90.06
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.035$16.21+$15.74
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.049$11.98+$11.73
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.035$9.69+$9.41
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.063$8.43+$8.30
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.065$8.13+$8.00
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.022$7.04+$6.73
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.058$5.21+$5.12
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0010.015$3.61+$3.36
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.029$3.56+$3.44
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0010.025$3.40+$3.26
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.026$3.25+$3.12
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.025$3.20+$3.07
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0010.025$3.05+$2.93
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$2.92+$2.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-23 04:34Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?SELL0.655$13.10
01-15 18:42Game Handicap: Pasika UA (-1.5)SELL0.49$118.58
12-18 13:33Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?SELL0.999$137.86
11-13 17:23Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 13?SELL0.999$107.89