PollProponent

0x403f2471f8aaa1e8a224f1338b073bfa3fdb94f1

Realised P&L: $12.2k
Volume: $1.15M
Markets traded: 1,401
Open portfolio: $11.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%: Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,401: High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position: Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions: Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%: Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position: Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
Market	Avg	Now	Value	Unrealised
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? · No	0.848	0.895	$358.00	+$18.74
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August? · No	0.843	0.840	$350.28	−$1.05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in August? · No	0.776	0.775	$311.55	−$0.45
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? · No	0.691	0.730	$292.00	+$15.44
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in August? · No	0.680	0.705	$279.53	+$9.91
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in August? · No	0.835	0.845	$253.12	+$3.09
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August? · No	0.737	0.755	$250.02	+$6.06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in August? · No	0.771	0.775	$232.50	+$1.26
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of August 3 2026? · No	0.838	0.835	$227.12	−$0.91
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of August 3 2026? · No	0.752	0.755	$226.01	+$0.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · No	0.561	0.535	$215.11	−$10.58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August? · No	0.860	0.850	$214.20	−$2.52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes	0.750	0.820	$210.15	+$17.87
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? · No	0.766	0.680	$196.52	−$24.99
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August? · No	0.770	0.640	$191.40	−$38.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

+$296.91at 0.289Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 27 2026?
+$278.10at 0.272Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in July?
+$257.78at 0.376Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of July 27 2026?
+$250.91at 0.176Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of July 27 2026?
+$249.46at 0.146Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
Time	Market	Side	Price	Value
08-03 03:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of August 3 2026?	BUY	0.35	$7.00
08-03 03:23	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in August?	BUY	0.09	$1.80
08-03 03:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?	SELL	0.24	$13.61
08-03 03:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?	SELL	0.26	$26.00
08-03 03:13	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in August?	BUY	0.27	$2.70
08-03 02:53	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in August?	BUY	0.28	$11.48
08-03 02:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 in August?	BUY	0.27	$6.48
08-03 02:51	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 in August?	BUY	0.27	$9.72
08-03 02:51	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in August?	BUY	0.28	$3.92
08-03 02:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	BUY	0.82	$11.48
08-03 02:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?	SELL	0.26	$17.94
08-03 02:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026?	SELL	0.55	$8.78
08-03 02:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026?	SELL	0.57	$80.94
08-03 02:36	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $487.50 Week of August 3 2026?	BUY	0.27	$34.83
08-03 02:35	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 Week of August 3 2026?	BUY	0.11	$15.29