PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Saffroncrypto

0x40592c5edac6476672049d5e593fcb59084d3371

Realised P&L
$-20.5k
Volume
$1.80M
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.375$1.5k+$838.50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2100.415$1.2k+$585.68
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7440.890$358.90+$58.90
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 16:55Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7439300269$300.00
06-22 02:55Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.24$345.43
05-20 22:31Spread: Thunder (-7.5)SELL0.5$600.00
05-20 22:31Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5SELL0.46$919.99
05-11 20:00Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.4799619554$2.3k
04-23 22:01Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5SELL0.49$980.00
04-23 21:59Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5SELL0.49$858.67
04-22 02:10Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5SELL0.46$598.00
04-22 01:46Spread: Rockets (-5.5)SELL0.47$1.0k
04-19 22:25Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5SELL0.47$704.99
04-19 19:39Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageSELL0.2116029923$39.60
04-19 19:39Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageBUY0.2459503766$26.50
04-07 18:10Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?SELL0.21$420.00
03-27 16:22Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5SELL0.53$31.81
03-27 16:22Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5SELL0.46$690.00