PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MLM728

0x40ee2f2d830f277afccde726338c70d243f72c4e

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$444.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$403.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.011$233.33+$33.33
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.009$170.00$30.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · No0.0240.000$0.00$696.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$20.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0330.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$565.99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$535.10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$138.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00$19.87
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$119.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 16:25Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?BUY0.0369999983$20.00
03-29 16:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0329999997$100.00
03-18 06:11Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$138.09
03-18 04:53Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?SELL0.002$40.00
03-18 04:51Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?SELL0.0444112629$52.68
03-18 04:50Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.04$41.25
03-14 06:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$30.00
03-09 16:16Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.1788872253$120.00
03-09 16:15Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$200.00
03-09 16:14Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$200.00
03-07 19:51Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0169576148$30.00
03-07 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.6296851492$19.46
03-07 19:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$50.00
03-07 19:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$100.00
03-07 19:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0156286691$100.00