MLM728
0x40ee2f2d830f277afccde726338c70d243f72c4e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $444.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $403.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.05at 0.204Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$23.37at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$14.41at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$11.76at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 16:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.0369999983 | $20.00 |
| 03-29 16:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0329999997 | $100.00 |
| 03-18 06:11 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $138.09 |
| 03-18 04:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | SELL | 0.002 | $40.00 |
| 03-18 04:51 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | SELL | 0.0444112629 | $52.68 |
| 03-18 04:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $41.25 |
| 03-14 06:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $30.00 |
| 03-09 16:16 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1788872253 | $120.00 |
| 03-09 16:15 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $200.00 |
| 03-09 16:14 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $200.00 |
| 03-07 19:51 | Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0169576148 | $30.00 |
| 03-07 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6296851492 | $19.46 |
| 03-07 19:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |
| 03-07 19:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 19:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0156286691 | $100.00 |