PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x413531f78b28c2f2014dd82e92f46802769ce462

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$332.3k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.4440.205$1.2k$1.4k
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.4340.140$450.70$946.90
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3340.205$128.17$80.79
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4880.230$9.43$10.57
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2800.205$5.18$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:47Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.2118602$847.44
07-27 06:59Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.2799999979$85.69
07-27 06:59Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.06$86.55
07-26 19:58Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.2199999851$10.31
07-26 19:56Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.05$10.42
07-26 19:56Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.2545488044$128.54
07-26 06:44Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.09$129.82
07-23 21:57Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.4098699772$315.23
07-23 21:56Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.5951403383$318.41
07-22 16:59Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3646858426$274.57
07-21 18:59Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.404457979$277.32
07-21 18:59Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4489039217$1.7k
07-21 10:17Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.4418875137$2.3k
07-20 20:43Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.942604$9.43
07-20 20:36Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.4964549161$783.68