0x41ddf19C1D68841FE6731671B91539c1A1536e71-1772367411250
0x41ddf19c1d68841fe6731671b91539c1a1536e71
- Realised P&L
- $302.66
- Volume
- $140.8k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.105 | $667.00 | −$254.96 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.140 | $406.00 | −$59.19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $0.80 | −$16.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.125Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$1.4kat 0.246Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$483.00at 0.310Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$375.05at 0.408Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$255.41at 0.370Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:28 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $5.60 |
| 08-02 06:09 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.12 |
| 07-30 15:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.80 |
| 07-30 15:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.80 |
| 07-30 15:39 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.0210376457 | $127.84 |
| 07-30 15:01 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.0375369923 | $72.80 |
| 07-27 21:05 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | SELL | 0.0022962072 | $9.71 |
| 07-26 11:11 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 11:11 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-25 19:07 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 16:10 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 02:11 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.1286956522 | $5.92 |
| 07-24 01:30 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1086956522 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 01:12 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 07-24 00:53 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.206975 | $4.14 |