Chungvicular
0x41eacf5aaa4c7fc883a098635b981050715d7a3d
- Realised P&L
- $36.8k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $45.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.3kat 0.1142026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
- +$7.9kat 0.150Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$7.2kat 0.046Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$7.2kat 0.020Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$5.8kat 0.571Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:50 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.2993982492 | $889.21 |
| 07-31 01:09 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.36 | $270.00 |
| 07-29 17:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.749 | $3.7k |
| 07-13 10:11 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.201 | $25.25 |
| 07-06 17:17 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4863490077 | $2.7k |
| 06-19 02:46 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $23.30 |
| 06-07 23:23 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4157405133 | $1.6k |
| 06-05 20:10 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.216 | $46.46 |
| 06-05 01:33 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.95 | $949.98 |
| 06-05 01:30 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3085894048 | $2.9k |
| 06-04 19:04 | Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary? | BUY | 0.0667894784 | $81.99 |
| 06-04 06:32 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.2632179571 | $921.26 |
| 06-03 06:48 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.148 | $70.12 |
| 06-03 04:24 | Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 06-03 03:51 | Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.96092094 | $291.95 |