0x430C26b54B0203FDff6b04459A0F8C919C1aEE80-1774000919088
0x430c26b54b0203fdff6b04459a0f8c919c1aee80
- Realised P&L
- $-28.16
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.051 | $1.84 | −$3.16 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.00at 0.130Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 11:03 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22) | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 11:00 | People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31? | BUY | 0.0128531799 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 10:59 | Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 10:55 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in March? | BUY | 0.0113100849 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 10:50 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 10:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0481798627 | $5.00 |