PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xiaohuli12

0x436db6c0d7be0c21fc3b90a2503ad37bde1f6c1d

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$152.0k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8330.875$2.1k+$101.92
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.345$1.2k$373.69
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.9100.945$1.1k+$40.80
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6580.000$0.00$800.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5850.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00$450.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$500.00
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$12.97
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8160.000$0.00$1.9k
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$800.00
Iran closes its airspace by July 31? · No0.7300.000$0.00$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 05:55US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4499999999$1.6k
06-27 12:12Will England win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.8499999999$590.00
06-27 12:11Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.86$800.00
06-26 07:04Will France win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.6099999993$800.00
06-25 04:28Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.89$796.69
06-25 04:28Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6579999998$800.00
06-24 09:50Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8299999999$355.03
06-24 09:50Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.75$800.00
06-23 13:05Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.7199999979$81.32
06-23 08:43Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5199999998$1000.00
06-23 08:42Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8299999999$1000.00
06-23 08:42Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8599999999$1000.00
06-22 12:34Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6799999989$24.87
06-22 05:12Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8$900.00
06-22 05:12Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6699999999$800.00