PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nennou

0x43cfb584c8bfa7f322ea258e251bd656b30788fa

Realised P&L
$-17.5k
Volume
$2.10M
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:44Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.91$42.71
07-29 12:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.78$508.92
07-28 06:31Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.69$690.00
07-27 17:51Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.33$17.94
07-27 15:46Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.006$0.07
07-27 15:44Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on July 31?BUY0.012$0.53
07-27 15:36US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?SELL0.9175233936$14.71
07-21 15:54Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?BUY0.78$128.00
07-14 15:34Will France win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.3925$392.50
07-13 17:46Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.6$720.00
07-13 17:45Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.545$235.76
07-11 22:15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.57$570.00
07-11 11:28Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.22$146.84
07-11 11:21Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.43$430.00
07-11 08:12Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.013$260.00