nennou
0x43cfb584c8bfa7f322ea258e251bd656b30788fa
- Realised P&L
- $-17.5k
- Volume
- $2.10M
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.850Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$2.2kat 0.268Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
- +$2.0kat 0.706Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.890Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$1.8kat 0.889Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:44 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $42.71 |
| 07-29 12:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $508.92 |
| 07-28 06:31 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.69 | $690.00 |
| 07-27 17:51 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.33 | $17.94 |
| 07-27 15:46 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.07 |
| 07-27 15:44 | Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on July 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.53 |
| 07-27 15:36 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | SELL | 0.9175233936 | $14.71 |
| 07-21 15:54 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $128.00 |
| 07-14 15:34 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.3925 | $392.50 |
| 07-13 17:46 | Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $720.00 |
| 07-13 17:45 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.545 | $235.76 |
| 07-11 22:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 07-11 11:28 | Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.22 | $146.84 |
| 07-11 11:21 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.43 | $430.00 |
| 07-11 08:12 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $260.00 |