ashash111
0x43e98f912cd6ddadaad88d3297e78c0648e688e5
- Realised P&L
- $29.4k
- Volume
- $203.30M
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $771.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $771.10 | −$40.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.009US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$3.2kat 0.002Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.002Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.1kat 0.004Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$1.7kat 0.003Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 05:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.77 |
| 07-29 17:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 12:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $8.99 |
| 07-29 02:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $243.98 |
| 07-25 05:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $67.86 |
| 07-17 14:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.19 |
| 07-17 11:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.13 |
| 07-16 10:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $211.12 |
| 07-15 15:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $300.00 |
| 07-11 11:49 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $131.98 |
| 07-10 07:05 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $87.88 |
| 07-10 07:05 | Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $58.57 |
| 07-10 07:05 | Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $84.17 |
| 07-09 12:34 | Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $118.49 |
| 07-09 12:30 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $26.16 |