sixsmith
0x44ba44693d56c19f4653f080808eb3ab45283e08
- Realised P&L
- $-9.99
- Volume
- $513.89
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $5.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.029 | $5.44 | −$24.56 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.290Ethereum all time high before 2026?
- +$15.18at 0.360Bulls vs. Wizards
- +$11.28at 0.470Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?
- +$3.26at 0.860Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?
- +$2.72at 0.810Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-19 11:39 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 11:38 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 11-06 13:24 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999539 | $11.60 |
| 11-06 13:24 | ETH flipped in 2025? | BUY | 0.9809999998 | $21.00 |
| 08-13 02:02 | Ethereum all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $23.99 |
| 07-10 13:16 | Ethereum all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999837 | $8.00 |
| 07-10 13:14 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | BUY | 0.973999952 | $11.00 |
| 03-05 12:11 | Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 03-05 12:09 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 03-05 12:08 | Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 01-01 04:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 01-01 04:04 | Bulls vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.35 | $1.40 |
| 01-01 04:04 | Bulls vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 12-24 11:47 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 12-07 07:43 | Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |