PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sixsmith

0x44ba44693d56c19f4653f080808eb3ab45283e08

Realised P&L
$-9.99
Volume
$513.89
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$5.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.029$5.44$24.56
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-19 11:39Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
01-19 11:38Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$20.00
11-06 13:24Ethereum all time high by December 31?BUY0.8099999539$11.60
11-06 13:24ETH flipped in 2025?BUY0.9809999998$21.00
08-13 02:02Ethereum all time high before 2026?SELL0.87$23.99
07-10 13:16Ethereum all time high before 2026?BUY0.2899999837$8.00
07-10 13:14Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?BUY0.973999952$11.00
03-05 12:11Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.99$10.00
03-05 12:09Bitcoin all time high by March 31?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
03-05 12:08Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
01-01 04:07Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.7099999918$20.00
01-01 04:04Bulls vs. WizardsSELL0.35$1.40
01-01 04:04Bulls vs. WizardsBUY0.359999987$10.00
12-24 11:47Spurs vs. KnicksBUY0.2599999839$10.00
12-07 07:43Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?BUY0.4699999915$10.00