0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998
0x45e6df48ccf5d1773d509c97052f819690cec078
- Realised P&L
- $871.03
- Volume
- $87.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,523
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,523
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.44at 0.120Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
- +$101.66at 0.379U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$66.00at 0.210Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?
- +$65.01at 0.405U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$50.65at 0.105Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Any Map 13-0?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:10 | Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? | SELL | 0.918 | $4.59 |
| 08-03 01:35 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.02 |
| 07-31 19:57 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.59 |
| 07-28 19:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? | BUY | 0.0644131028 | $1.42 |
| 07-23 19:18 | RipCars FDV above $2.5M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 07-21 15:01 | Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.40 |
| 07-21 12:13 | Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.42 |
| 07-19 11:44 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.96 |
| 07-18 07:21 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.211 | $2.11 |
| 07-17 21:03 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-17 01:56 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.399 | $5.55 |
| 07-16 02:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-15 07:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-12 15:07 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%? | SELL | 0.419 | $2.09 |
| 07-12 12:31 | Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |