PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998

0x45e6df48ccf5d1773d509c97052f819690cec078

Realised P&L
$871.03
Volume
$87.4k
Markets traded
1,523
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,523
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4100.715$107.24+$45.75
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5900.605$90.75+$2.25
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in August? · No0.5400.605$90.75+$9.75
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · No0.5700.590$88.50+$3.00
What will be the next Fed rate change? · Hike0.4940.580$87.00+$12.84
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5760.550$79.75$3.80
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · No0.4800.320$73.60$36.90
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.470$70.50$6.00
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? · Yes0.5300.535$66.88+$0.63
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch · Yes0.4100.445$66.75+$5.25
Will Leavitt say "Red" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.3300.445$66.75+$17.25
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? · No0.2020.305$66.52+$22.38
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · Yes0.3600.440$66.00+$12.00
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? · Yes0.2010.875$65.46+$50.45
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? · No0.4800.435$65.25$6.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:10Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?SELL0.918$4.59
08-03 01:35Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.34$3.02
07-31 19:57GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.11$1.59
07-28 19:53Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?BUY0.0644131028$1.42
07-23 19:18RipCars FDV above $2.5M one day after launch?BUY0.12$0.60
07-21 15:01Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026?BUY0.25$1.40
07-21 12:13Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?BUY0.07$0.42
07-19 11:44Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.17$0.96
07-18 07:21Will Wes Streeting be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.211$2.11
07-17 21:03Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in July?BUY0.48$4.80
07-17 01:56Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.399$5.55
07-16 02:00Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.63$3.15
07-15 07:09Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?BUY0.54$2.70
07-12 15:07Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%?SELL0.419$2.09
07-12 12:31Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?SELL0.14$0.70