PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

chemp1mln

0x45fb42d054b70e524f9368b5f76ccd8fef0bf1f6

Realised P&L
$-22.9k
Volume
$2.13M
Markets traded
7,815
Open portfolio
$10.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,815
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3980.365$6.3k$574.38
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2720.295$1.3k+$102.03
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0560.044$1.2k$313.87
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.7371.000$810.58+$212.67
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0430.022$411.39$378.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7180.575$133.40$33.19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8010.795$71.06$0.56
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0050.004$46.24$22.31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8410.875$21.85+$0.85
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5860.625$20.00+$1.24
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0860.065$15.60$5.00
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0970.069$12.30$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8150.925$9.25+$1.10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees0.7200.595$5.95$1.25
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.964$5.78+$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.99$122.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.99$11.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.99$122.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.99$122.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.99$11.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.99$122.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.98$11.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.98$11.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.98$122.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.97$11.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.9699999998$122.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.96$11.00
07-29 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.96$3.00
07-29 01:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.96$11.00
07-29 01:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.95$3.00