anon.1980.123
0x46992d0e547e3822a9c28723f51bfa804ae4e03c
- Realised P&L
- $54.8k
- Volume
- $28.17M
- Markets traded
- 5,432
- Open portfolio
- $152.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,432
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.861Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
- +$16.5kat 0.760Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$13.7kat 0.831Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$11.0kat 0.892US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$9.7kat 0.811Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $243.54 |
| 08-02 23:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.9909967141 | $4.5k |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.9460333533 | $3.2k |
| 08-02 23:19 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | SELL | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 08-02 23:19 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | SELL | 0.999 | $4.8k |
| 08-02 23:19 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9795438231 | $108.07 |
| 08-02 23:19 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9853023067 | $4.5k |
| 08-02 23:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9894628954 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.9851710601 | $5.2k |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.991 | $319.32 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.991 | $232.27 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $23.78 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9897833086 | $959.22 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 08-02 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.9541085619 | $263.66 |