PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736

0x46a121e4df5fdd6cf042a4ede1e90672583e2736

Realised P&L
$15.8k
Volume
$867.9k
Markets traded
705
Open portfolio
$51.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded705
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8520.920$8.4k+$619.82
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.8620.925$4.8k+$332.36
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.875$4.5k+$178.77
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7960.974$4.3k+$783.98
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8910.915$3.1k+$79.75
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.952$2.9k+$906.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7710.865$2.1k+$232.90
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.975$1.9k+$414.98
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.4310.785$1.5k+$686.23
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.935$1.4k+$247.50
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.660$1.4k$175.50
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? · No0.9200.990$1.2k+$84.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.965$1.1k+$27.50
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · No0.6190.760$1.0k+$186.46
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4740.905$916.75+$436.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:51Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.365037037$49.28
08-01 15:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$470.00
08-01 15:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$564.00
07-31 22:36Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.759$169.26
07-31 22:35Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.759$75.90
07-31 22:35Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.758$37.90
07-17 15:04Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.4747483846$61.72
07-12 08:46Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?BUY0.1$20.00
07-12 08:39Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?BUY0.7$19.60
07-11 22:23Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceSELL0.3825$14.43
07-11 22:21Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3974999846$15.00
07-11 22:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.318$13.67
07-11 21:55Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5BUY0.5299999982$15.00
07-11 21:51Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5SELL0.1875$15.96
07-11 21:50Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.117499991$10.00