TryNewThings
0x46b19b4cbf00e4e5ce9fdc45f1f9a5c003fc428c
- Realised P&L
- $-599.32
- Volume
- $263.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,858
- Open portfolio
- $534.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,858
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.07at 0.006Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$155.66at 0.667Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)
- +$94.38at 0.406Monaco vs. Paris Basketball
- +$86.81at 0.580Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$84.99at 0.414Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.79 |
| 08-02 22:22 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.46 |
| 08-02 21:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999146 | $1.12 |
| 08-02 19:51 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.02 |
| 08-02 17:07 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 04:56 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 04:10 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869998925 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 03:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $9.27 |
| 08-02 03:03 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 03:00 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | BUY | 0.539999994 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 02:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.35 |
| 08-02 02:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5340659334 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 02:19 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 02:19 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $8.69 |
| 08-02 02:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? | BUY | 0.8799999868 | $2.67 |