polakurwa
0x489b65682d1615ba92f00b89fbfb895716a3a6ec
- Realised P&L
- $-354.29
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$934.59at 0.476Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
- +$508.35at 0.503Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)
- +$467.03at 0.500Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
- +$342.00at 0.430Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
- +$276.64at 0.440Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:32 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 16:26 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $217.36 |
| 08-02 14:59 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs | BUY | 0.43 | $258.00 |
| 08-02 14:52 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.44 | $262.24 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $266.40 |
| 08-02 14:33 | Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $189.90 |
| 08-02 14:31 | Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $86.97 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs SportsBetExpert (+1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $137.57 |
| 08-02 12:37 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $182.50 |
| 08-02 12:36 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $333.00 |
| 08-02 12:27 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $323.36 |
| 08-02 11:13 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.07 | $9.03 |
| 08-02 11:13 | LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 15:28 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $124.72 |
| 08-01 15:04 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $174.44 |