PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

v1notlost

0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$678.4k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1370.205$309.22+$102.08
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.1630.095$199.08$141.61
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1090.085$137.96$39.57
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0620.032$126.98$122.64
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? · Yes0.1180.110$112.17$8.14
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0940.065$78.36$34.75
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0220.022$75.07+$2.34
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.018$65.46$47.30
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0850.049$58.17$43.30
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.0540.048$56.19$7.69
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5100.230$46.00$56.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0800.146$43.97+$19.96
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0520.040$40.56$12.00
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1130.035$33.80$74.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.3500.315$31.50$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:41Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.0242340286$18.45
08-02 00:53Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$9.00
07-28 23:07Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.03$30.66
07-28 00:20US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.0526253158$20.00
07-28 00:19Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.286$7.15
07-28 00:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.283$3.93
07-28 00:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
07-28 00:17Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?SELL0.04$4.00
07-22 00:25Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0204803313$9.89
07-22 00:24European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?BUY0.0812149533$8.69
07-22 00:23US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.11$46.51
07-19 02:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.35$35.00
07-19 02:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.021$2.10
07-19 02:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.047$0.65
07-19 02:25European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?BUY0.0763551351$14.13