v1notlost
0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $678.4k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.216S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
- +$1.8kat 0.049Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$370.39at 0.747US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$274.41at 0.259Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$204.83at 0.654Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:41 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0242340286 | $18.45 |
| 08-02 00:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-28 23:07 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.03 | $30.66 |
| 07-28 00:20 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.0526253158 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 00:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.286 | $7.15 |
| 07-28 00:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.283 | $3.93 |
| 07-28 00:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 07-28 00:17 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 00:25 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0204803313 | $9.89 |
| 07-22 00:24 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.0812149533 | $8.69 |
| 07-22 00:23 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $46.51 |
| 07-19 02:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 07-19 02:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.10 |
| 07-19 02:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.047 | $0.65 |
| 07-19 02:25 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.0763551351 | $14.13 |