guliguli87
0x492c92f289e72842020559aa454ed214c9c4d12b
- Realised P&L
- $484.69
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? · No | 0.989 | 0.992 | $1.8k | +$4.61 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No | 0.983 | 0.987 | $1.4k | +$4.96 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? · No | 0.989 | 0.994 | $497.00 | +$2.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · No | 0.989 | 0.989 | $494.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.33at 0.962Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
- +$42.20at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
- +$30.00at 0.970Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.37at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
- +$27.80at 0.982Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 05:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.8k |
| 07-28 05:50 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 07-28 05:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.986 | $45.08 |
| 07-28 05:44 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.2049487 | $20.49 |
| 07-23 06:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.876 | $87.60 |
| 07-23 06:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? | BUY | 0.977 | $24.13 |
| 07-22 16:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | BUY | 0.986 | $493.00 |
| 07-15 06:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.985 | $295.50 |
| 07-15 06:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 07-12 16:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.0k |
| 07-12 16:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 07-12 03:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 07-11 10:13 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.984 | $984.00 |
| 07-08 06:57 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.97 | $970.00 |